The Two-Stage Framework

A Plexo policy proposal: begin with bounded payment use cases, then decide whether and how holding may be allowed.

By , Founder · Plexo Institute

The question is not whether to regulate stablecoins. It is in what order. Permit transit first.

The question is not whether to regulate stablecoins. It is how to sequence permissions, supervision, and review as a regime develops.

Reading Guide

Four ideas to anchor the read.

Plexo proposes that policymakers consider a bounded payment-transit use case before they consider broader holding. The sequence asks what supervision, redemption, custody, reporting, and consumer protections exist at each step. The cited regulatory materials show different activity- and risk-specific approaches; they do not establish that a group of jurisdictions independently adopted one identical sequence. Each jurisdiction requires its own legal analysis.

In a transit-only design, the stablecoin can exist briefly during a cross-border payment: local fiat enters, a permitted provider converts it, value transits, another provider converts it, and the recipient receives local fiat. That design may limit routine retail holding, but it does not establish zero dollarisation risk or a universal licensing category. The permitted activity and controls depend on the applicable jurisdiction.

Balance caps, no yield, custodial-only holding, and aggregate reporting contain holding without banning it. The UK Bank of England consultation is the most detailed precedent, with at least 40% of backing in unremunerated central bank deposits and up to 60% in short-term government debt.

The pattern is ignore, ban, license trading, get stuck on payments, and lose activity to regulatory arbitrage. Nigeria, India, and Turkey show the cost: less visibility, informal adoption, and a harder path back to a functional payment framework.

Chapter 1

The Idea

Start with the lowest-risk use case and expand only after the supervisory infrastructure is proven.

Stablecoin regulation faces a false binary: ban everything or allow everything. Sequencing rejects both. It starts with the lowest-risk use case, transit, and adds higher-risk use cases, holding, only after the supervisory infrastructure is proven. The regulator gains data and experience at each stage before expanding the perimeter.

Transit First, Holding After Evidence


Each stage gives the regulator evidence before the next permission.

Stage 1

Transit permission

Permit the low-risk payment use case first.

Fiat endpoints only: local currency in, local currency out.Stablecoin exists for minutes as a settlement instrument.Compliance, corridor, and settlement data are reported first.

Stage 2

Limited holding

Open balances only after the supervisor can see and control the system.

Limited custodial balances inside licensed financial institutions.Balance caps, no yield, and fiat-only exit keep incentives narrow.Aggregate holding reports let the central bank adjust the perimeter.

What Stage 1 gives the regulator before Stage 2

Observed flows

Corridors, volumes, settlement times.

Operator quality

Compliance completion and incident history.

Policy option

Expand, hold, or tighten after evidence.

Many financial regimes introduce products and permissions incrementally, but historical analogies do not prescribe a stablecoin rulebook. Plexo uses the same practical question: begin with the most bounded activity that a regulator can supervise, review the evidence, and decide whether broader permissions are warranted.

For stablecoins, transit and holding create different exposures. A transit-first design can reduce some holding-related exposure, but its residual risk remains corridor-, issuer-, and implementation-specific. The sequence is a Plexo proposal, not a reported international consensus.

A regulator can face a difficult choice between an over-broad prohibition and a permission that outruns its supervisory capacity. The relevant question is not whether a technology label is allowed, but which activity, issuer, customer, custody arrangement, and payment route can be supervised under current law.

A staged approach lets a regulator consider a bounded payment case while it continues to assess higher-risk activities such as holding, lending, and yield. It does not prove that one sequence is appropriate for every market or that a particular outcome follows from delay.

Chapter 2

Stage 1: Transit

The stablecoin is a settlement instrument in transit, not a store of value.

In a Stage 1 design, a stablecoin can be used as a settlement instrument in transit rather than as a routine store of value. Limiting holding can reduce some direct deposit-substitution exposure, but it does not eliminate dollarisation, operational, consumer-protection, or supervisory risk. Those effects must be assessed against the actual corridor and rulebook.

Design pointMeaning

No routine holding

Can limit direct retail holding exposure; it does not eliminate all dollarisation or supervisory risk.

Minutes of exposure

The stablecoin leg exists only long enough to settle the cross-border payment.

Compliance before movement

KYC/KYB, sanctions screening, Travel Rule data, and audit trail checks clear before value moves.

Stage 1 covers one architecture: the fiat sandwich.

  1. Sender pays in local currency.
  2. Licensed on-ramp converts to stablecoin.
  3. Stablecoin transits on-chain, usually seconds to minutes.
  4. Licensed off-ramp converts to destination fiat.
  5. Recipient receives local currency.

The regulatory classification is straightforward: this is a payment service. The stablecoin functions as a settlement instrument, not a consumer asset. The Fiat Sandwich explains this architecture in detail. The license is a payment service provider or electronic money institution license, not a VASP or exchange license — a complete list of global regulatory regimes, regulators, and licensed entity aggregates is available in our VASP Registry Aggregates CSV/JSON Dataset.

Jurisdictions that have reached this conclusion include Singapore, where MAS added stablecoin activities to the Payment Services Act; UAE, where CBUAE placed payment tokens under central bank supervision; Brazil, where BCB classifies certain virtual asset provider activities as foreign exchange and international capital operations; and Chile, where the Fintech Law and central bank work bring certain stablecoins into the payment perimeter.

Permitting transit does not mean permitting anything. Stage 1 operators must meet the same compliance standard as any licensed payment institution.

RequirementStandardWhen it applies

KYC/KYB

Originator and beneficiary verified

Before any stablecoin is minted or transferred

Sanctions screening

OFAC, EU, and local lists

Before on-chain transfer

Travel Rule

Data assembled before transfer, transmitted with or before value

Aggregate reporting

Volume, corridors, settlement times to supervisor

Periodic: daily or weekly

Audit trail

Full transaction record stored

Retained per local AML retention rules

A regulated transit design can require compliance checks before value moves. The exact timing, data obligations, and supervisory visibility depend on the applicable law, provider design, and payment corridor; this framework does not claim a universal comparison with correspondent banking.

Chapter 3

Stage 2: Limited Holding

Controlled expansion with built-in brakes: caps, no yield, custody, and reporting.

Stage 2 permits licensed financial institutions to hold stablecoin balances in custodial accounts, with explicit controls that contain dollarization risk. The key distinction: Stage 2 is not deregulation. It is controlled expansion with built-in circuit breakers.

The control design is deliberately narrow. Stage 2 does not say "let everyone hold stablecoins." It says that licensed financial institutions may hold limited balances under rules that preserve central-bank visibility and leave room to tighten or relax the system as evidence arrives.

Balance Caps Make Holding Adjustable


No yield, custodial-only access, and aggregate reporting let the central bank expand, hold, or tighten.

Stage 2 permission

Limited holding remains reversible

The permission opens only inside a measured perimeter, then adjusts as evidence arrives.

Cap

Balance caps

Percentage limits are calibrated to payment volume, not political guesswork.

Incentive

No yield

Balances stay payment liquidity instead of becoming a savings product.

Perimeter

Custodial only

Holding stays inside licensed financial-institution infrastructure.

Visibility

Aggregate reporting

The central bank sees total holdings and threshold pressure before risk compounds.

The control set preserves three choices after review:

ExpandHoldTighten
ControlMechanismPrecedent

Transitional balance caps

Percentage-based caps on stablecoin holdings per licensed financial institution, calibrated to average monthly payment volume

UK Bank of England proposed regime: at least 40% of backing in unremunerated central bank deposits, up to 60% in short-term government debt

No yield or interest

Custodial stablecoin balances do not earn returns. This removes the better-savings-account incentive that drives deposit substitution.

GENIUS Act: payment stablecoin framework with statutory guardrails

Custodial-only

Stablecoins are held only inside licensed financial institution infrastructure. No self-custodied wallets for regulated holding.

Aggregate reporting

Central bank receives real-time or periodic data on total holdings across licensed operators. Threshold triggers activate review.

If a stablecoin pays yield, it becomes a deposit substitute. Citizens move savings into it. Banks lose funding. Monetary policy loses traction. The dollarization risk that Stage 1 eliminated reappears.

Without yield, a stablecoin held in a custodial account is a parking spot for payment liquidity, not a savings product. The economic incentive to hold long term is removed. Holding remains functional, not speculative.

This distinction has already become the fault line in US crypto legislation: exchanges want yield to attract deposits; banks want it banned to protect their funding base. The regulatory design choice between those positions determines whether Stage 2 contains dollarization or amplifies it.

The Bank of England's November 2025 consultation paper provides the most detailed Stage 2 architecture to date. It proposes 100% backing by qualifying assets, at least 40% in unremunerated deposits at the Bank of England, and up to 60% in short-term sterling-denominated UK government debt. The paper also covers par redemption, temporary deviations for large unexpected redemption requests, and restrictions on reserve use.

The 40/60 split is a compromise: 40% supports immediate redemption liquidity, while 60% in government debt allows the business model to generate enough return to operate. The Bank explicitly frames the proposal inside an emerging international policy direction.

Chapter 4

What to Test When the Perimeter Is Unclear

Jurisdictions can take materially different routes when their legal perimeter is incomplete or changing. These differences are reasons to inspect the underlying rulebook, not evidence for a universal failure sequence.

Trading Licenses Do Not Build Payment Oversight


Skipping transit pushes payment use into informal channels while adoption keeps growing.
  1. Stage 1

    Ignore

    Stablecoin payments grow outside supervision while the regulator waits.

  2. Stage 2

    Ban

    Banking-channel restrictions push users into informal peer-to-peer rails.

  3. Stage 3

    License trading

    Exchange oversight improves speculation controls but still misses payments.

  4. Stage 4

    Stuck on payments

    No category exists for licensed transit, so fiat sandwich operators cannot launch.

  5. Stage 5

    Arbitrage

    Payment activity moves to jurisdictions that solved transit first.

Result

The regulator ends with trading oversight, less payment visibility, and a harder path back to functional payment supervision.

Scope. Which issuer, service, token, customer, and payment route are covered?

Permission. Which activity is permitted today, under which legal instrument, and subject to which conditions?

Controls. How do custody, redemption, sanctions, Travel Rule data, reporting, complaints, and recovery work in that activity?

Review. What evidence would justify expanding, narrowing, or withdrawing a permission?

Plexo proposes transit-first sequencing as one way to make those questions explicit. It is not a claim that every jurisdiction should adopt the same order.

Country policy changes, market adoption, informal activity, and supervisory outcomes have many causes. A country example can identify a question for diligence, but it cannot by itself prove that one policy choice caused a particular market outcome or that another jurisdiction will repeat it. Use current primary legal and supervisory sources for the named country before drawing an operational conclusion.

Chapter 5

Selected Regulatory Materials

The materials below are starting points for jurisdiction-specific research. They describe different legal perimeters, instruments, and implementation stages. Plexo does not treat them as evidence that jurisdictions independently converged on one two-stage design.

JurisdictionPrimary material to inspectWhat it can illustrateWhat it cannot establish

Singapore

A defined issuer framework and payment-services context

That MAS adopted Plexo’s proposed sequence

UAE

Licensing, reserve, and redemption requirements

That the UAE regime maps one-for-one to Stage 1 or Stage 2

ADGM

A regulated-activities perimeter for fiat-referenced tokens

A universal licence category or policy order

United States

A federal payment-stablecoin framework

The outcome for every state, issuer, or service

United Kingdom

A developing systemic-regime proposal and backing discussion

A final universal holding-control model

Brazil

A current virtual-asset and FX-related regulatory package

That Brazil endorses Plexo’s sequencing thesis

EU

Activity- and token-specific requirements in the EU perimeter

A country-level operator permission without local analysis

Chile

An evolving payments and fintech context

A settled stablecoin authorisation or common sequence

The materials show that regulators can distinguish activities, tokens, issuers, and risk controls. They do not show that every stablecoin use is a payment service, that trading and payments can always be separated cleanly, or that the listed jurisdictions share one policy sequence. Use the primary legal text and qualified local advice for the specific activity.

Brazil’s virtual-asset regulatory package is a useful source to inspect for the treatment of certain virtual-asset-provider activities and foreign-exchange or international-capital operations. It does not by itself prove that Brazil adopted Plexo’s Stage 1 logic or that the same legal treatment applies to every stablecoin transaction.

Chapter 6

What a Staged Proposal Can Offer

A bounded permission can make the evidence required for a later decision more explicit.

Plexo proposes three potential benefits of considering a bounded payment case before broader holding. They are hypotheses to test against a named regime and operator, not observed universal outcomes.

Evidence first: A bounded permission can specify what corridor, compliance, and settlement data a later decision should review.

Controls made testable: A regulator can define evidence and operating conditions before considering a broader activity.

Options preserved: Where the law permits, a regulator may expand, hold, or tighten a regime after reviewing evidence.

1. Residual risk. Does the proposed transit design limit particular holding-related exposures, and what risks remain?

2. Evidence before expansion. Which volume, compliance, settlement, complaints, and corridor data would a regulator review before changing permissions?

3. Operator conditions. Which controls, reporting duties, audits, and enforcement tools must be demonstrated before a broader activity is considered?

The answers depend on the legal perimeter and the named operator. A staged proposal does not remove the need for evidence, legal authority, or supervisory capacity.

Sequencing does not itself create regulatory authority. Where the law provides authority, a regulator may define permissions, conditions, reporting, and review triggers for a bounded activity, then decide whether to change the perimeter. The available tools and process must be verified in the relevant jurisdiction.

Chapter 7

Counter-Arguments & Limitations

Where the two-stage sequencing thesis can be challenged.

Two objections matter before the framework is used as a policy template. First, comparisons across jurisdictions can overstate commonality if they treat different legal perimeters as one sequence. Second, holding controls can change over time under market and political pressure. These limits belong in the framework, not only in its methodology.

South Korea, Japan, Hong Kong, Switzerland, and other jurisdictions may have frameworks that do not fit a two-stage presentation. A comparison should not turn different instruments, dates, activities, and supervisory powers into a claim of common policy order. Plexo therefore presents two-stage sequencing as a proposal to test, not as an international consensus or a prediction of legal outcomes.

Holding controls can change over time. Current primary legal texts may set conditions such as reserve, redemption, or interest restrictions, but a framework should not assume those conditions will persist or apply across jurisdictions. Any operational conclusion requires the current rulebook, implementation status, and qualified jurisdiction-specific analysis.

About the Author

Anton Titov

Author of The Two-Stage Framework. Building a stablecoin clearing network, solving interoperability between licensed financial institutions across stablecoins, chains, and jurisdictions. He focuses on connecting payment infrastructure between emerging and developed markets. Speaker at Money20/20 Asia 2025, Stablecoin Summit Africa (Johannesburg, 2025), Stablecoin & Blockchain Conference Kenya (2026), and Fintech Week Central Europe (2026).

About This Framework

Scope, disclosure, and method.

This framework is a Plexo policy proposal: consider bounded payment-transit permissions before deciding whether and how broader holding may be allowed. It is written from Plexo's point of view as an operator building regulated multi-stablecoin clearing infrastructure for cross-border B2B settlement. Readers should treat that perspective as part of the disclosure. The framework does not claim that jurisdictions have converged on this sequence; it is intended to be tested against current primary sources and the conditions in a named market.

Data vintage: 2018-2026. The analysis draws on regulatory materials including the ADGM FRT Framework, MAS Payment Services Act and stablecoin framework, UAE Payment Token Services Regulation, US GENIUS Act, UK Bank of England systemic stablecoin consultation, Brazil BCB Resolutions 519-521, EU MiCA, and Chile Fintech Law/payment-system materials. These materials are examples for jurisdiction-specific research; they are not a controlled comparison, a common sequence, or legal permission to operate. The framework is not investment, tax, or regulatory advice.

Relevant Reading

The Fiat Sandwich — the model Stage 1 permits: fiat in, stablecoin transit, fiat out.

The Dollarization Myth — why the fear is real but misplaced: transit versus store of value.

Six Pathways — all six settlement architectures and where each model fits.

References

13 references
  1. Fiat-Referenced Token FrameworkADGM FSRA
  2. S.1582 - GENIUS ActUS Congress
  3. MAS finalises stablecoin regulatory frameworkMonetary Authority of Singapore
  4. Blockchain Cross-Border PaymentsBVNK
  5. Monetary Sovereignty in the Age of StablecoinsOliver Wyman
  6. Payment Token Services RegulationCentral Bank of the UAE
  7. BCB details rules on virtual assetsBanco Central do Brasil
  8. Updated Guidance for a Risk-Based Approach to Virtual Assets and VASPsFATF
  9. Project AuroraBIS Innovation Hub
  10. Proposed regulatory regime for sterling-denominated systemic stablecoinsBank of England
  11. Nigeria's eNaira, One Year AfterInternational Monetary Fund
  12. Regulation (EU) 2023/1114 on markets in crypto-assetsEUR-Lex
  13. Payment Systems Report - Fintech Law and stablecoinsBanco Central de Chile